The war to succeed DVDs

 Uncategorized
Mar 112005
 

The papers are abuzz today with news of Apple fol­low­ing Dell and HP in back­ing Sony’s pro­posal for next gen­er­a­tion DVDs. Called Blu-Ray, these discs can hold as much 5 — 6 times more data than the cur­rent red laser based discs, and offer bet­ter copy­right pro­tec­tion. Every­one is spec­u­lat­ing that this might be the last nail in the HD-DVD for­mat that Toshiba is push­ing, and Blu-ray is the clear fron­trun­ner now in the bat­tle of for­mats, so maybe this just might be where Sony ends their dis­mal record in win­ning stan­dards. Apple is a one-product com­pany now — a glo­ri­fied man­u­fac­turer of a (really cool) music player, and it’s endorse­ment of the for­mat may not mean much to Blu-Ray except for some good press.

Here’s some back­ground on the DVD war of suc­ces­sion from (where else?) the Econ­o­mist.

In one cor­ner is the HD-DVD for­mat, backed by Toshiba, NEC and Sanyo. The details are still sketchy—the spec­i­fi­ca­tion will not be finalised until February—but HD-DVD will offer at least three times the stor­age capac­ity of DVD, while improved video-compression soft­ware will fur­ther boost capac­ity. The new for­mat has the back­ing of the DVD Forum, which means it is the “offi­cial” suc­ces­sor to the DVD for­mat. Pro­po­nents of HD-DVD claim the discs can be made cheaply using exist­ing DVD pro­duc­tion lines with very lit­tle mod­i­fi­ca­tion. The first HD-DVD devices will go on sale next year.

In the other cor­ner is Blu-ray, backed by a con­sor­tium that includes Sony, Mat­sushita, Hitachi and Philips. Blu-ray discs have around five times the capac­ity of DVDs, allow­ing each disc to store around two hours of high-definition video, or 13 hours of stan­dard video. Sony has been sell­ing Blu-ray recorders in Japan since 2003, and Mat­sushita and Sharp have both launched Blu-ray devices this year.

Accord­ing to the arti­cle, there are four pos­si­ble out­comes. A clear win for one of the stan­dards; a com­pro­mise that causes an entirely new stan­dard that com­bines ele­ments of the com­pet­ing for­mats, although “Nobody wants to bend, since nei­ther side wants to give up the lucra­tive roy­al­ties it stands to make if its stan­dard pre­vails. Instead, both sides are dig­ging in for a long fight”; coex­is­tence with DVD play­ers capa­ble of play­ing both for­mats — but this is dif­fi­cult since the two for­mats are very dif­fer­ent from each other; or the mar­ket not tak­ing off at all. If I were a bet­ting kind of per­son, I would bet on a Blu-Ray win.

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